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This Day in Alternate History Blog
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The US 1938-42
Scott wrote this in an email about six months ago. Recently I
rediscovered it and decided that more people needed to be able to read
it.
I frequently find in AH circles no appreciation of the US as it was in this period. People tend to project backwards the US of their lives and ignore the transition that happened 1948-50 when a bipartisan majority finally accepted worldwide endless military deployment [World War 3/Cold War].
The largest public block was isolationist.
This was 30-40% of the population and included many leading figures. The
fuzziness of the figures is that some were total pacifists, some were Fortress
America, some were Isolationist, some were just FDR/New Deal haters.
Thus some of the most rabid foes of any aid to England advocated aid to
Chiang. The USCP which while tiny had a large cadre of fellow travelers/useful
idiots/sheep was fanatic in opposing anything beyond complete disarmament from
the day of the Molotov Pact until the day of Barbarossa when they rediscovered
that Hitler was evil.
There was a solid 10-20% that regarded the US as
part of the West and would have aided France before 1939. Unfortunately
this included many US Jews who would not speak out publicly for fear of public
disapproval.
That left a floating block mostly concerned with
domestic issues but willing to accept that the Nazis and Hirohito didn't look
like nice guys. Over the period FDR managed to motive this group to back
US rearmament, aid to Britain to the point that most by the summer of 1941
would have however tentatively and reluctantly have approved sending US
draftees to the UK or Australia if either was in serious danger. FDR did
great work achieving this. However it was slow work and involved
repeatedly patting the little dears on the head while assuring them that it
was only a last resort, that everybody wanted peace, that it was all really
icky and horrible...so a lot of could/would the US have done this or that
depends VERY much on playing the PR and US domestic politics. Thus FDR
could have sold saving EIre politically for ex if and only if Dev VERY publicly
asked and pushed the buttons of the US Irish community and RC hierarchy.
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