| Shimabara Rebellion Sparks 
    Opening of Nippon  by Jeff Provine 
     Author 
    says: what if the Shimabara Rebellion sparked the opening of Nippon? 
    muses Jeff Provine's on his excellent blog
    This Day in 
    Alternate History. Please note that the opinions expressed in this post 
    do not necessarily reflect the views of the author(s). 
     
      On December 17th 1637,
     
      Please click the
        
        
          
           icon to follow us on Facebook.on this day the Shimabara Rebellion 
        
        sparked the opening of Nippon. 
 In the 1630s, a climate of heavy taxation and famine would ignite a 
        
        rebellion that would change the island nation of Nippon forever. In the 
        
        Shimabara Domain under Matsukura Katsuie (as well as the Karatsu Domain 
        
        under Terasawa Katataka), peasants were driven into bitter poverty by 
        
        construction projects by the Matsukura clan attempting to climb the 
        
        hierarchy of the lords by building up his defenses and preparing for an 
        
        invasion. Many peasants were Christian, as the previous lord family Arima 
        
        had been. When the Arima had left, the peasants had stayed, and now the 
        
        Matsukura enacted persecution to keep the believers of foreign things 
        
        under its thumb. Rebellion broke out in 1637 with the assassination of a 
        
        local tax collector, Hayashi Hyozaemon. Amakusa Shiro, a charismatic 
        
        teenager, led them, claiming to be the "Fourth Son of Heaven" prophesied 
        
        to be the one to begin the Christianization of Nippon. Masterless samurai, 
        
        many of whom had been involved in the plotting that autumn, joined the 
        
        peasants, and their ranks swelled by impressing the conquered neighbors 
        
        into joining their cause. While besieging neighboring castles, armies from 
        
        nearby Kyushu arrived, and the rebels made a series of advances and 
        
        retreats, eventually taking refuge in Hara Castle.
 
 "Makes you wonder what would have happened to Pearl 
          
          Harbor in this TL... " - reader's commentsThough outnumbering the 
        
        defenders four-to-one, the shogunate forces were only able to take up a 
        
        siege of the castle. After several potential strategies, the commanders 
        
        called for aid from the Dutch, white-faced demons that arrived from far in 
        
        the west on wooden ships not long after the Portuguese. The Dutch gave the 
        
        army gunpowder and cannon as well as advisers on how to use them most 
        
        effectively. Having gone through generations of warfare with Spain during 
        
        what would become known as the Eighty Years' War, the Dutch had learned 
        
        many of the subtleties of artillery. The tradeship de Ryp took up a 
        
        position along with the battery-mounted cannons on land, and the barrage 
        
        of the castle began.
 
 After some fifteen days, the rebels broke and called for truce. 
        
        Incendiaries and heavy shot had devastated the castle and ruined much of 
        
        their supplies. With the dead piling up, the peasants began to surrender 
        
        en masse. The castle ruins were burned, and more than 30,000 sympathizers 
        
        were executed. Amakusa Shiro had died in the barrage, and his battered 
        
        severed head was returned to Nagasaki.
 
 The shogunate learned valuable lessons from the rebellion. Foremost, the 
        
        Shimabara peninsula had to be repopulated (even its lords, as Matsukura 
        
        Katsuie had committed suicide and Terasawa Katataka died childless), and 
        
        the reshuffling established a new and prosperous hierarchy rewarding those 
        
        who had worked for the good of Nippon. Another lesson was the dangers of 
        
        foreign religion, and Christianity was driven underground as the Kakure 
        
        Kirishitan. The third, and perhaps most important, lesson was the 
        
        effectiveness of Western technology and technique. Industrial spies were 
        
        shipped back to Europe, learning all they could of Western weaponry, 
        
        architecture, metallurgy, textiles, and, key to the future of Nippon, 
        
        manufacture.
 
 "This would have been very interesting. However, at 
          
          the time, Japan was almost as advanced, militarily, as the West, and 
          
          didn't see the need for "opening." Later, the Closed Country became 
          
          set-in-stone policy." - reader's commentsInitially relying on the 
        
        Dutch, the Nipponese would later turn to the English and even cleverly pit 
        
        Western countries against one another to gain greater advantages in trade. 
        
        In the eighteenth century, the Nipponese would emulate the steam engine of 
        
        James Watt to great success. When Europe became embroiled in the affairs 
        
        of the French Revolution (ideals refused in Nippon as they found interest 
        
        only in technology, not social philosophy) and Napoleonic Wars, Nippon 
        
        seized the opportunity to colonize and create its own empire. Invading 
        
        Korea and using it as a launching ground for the conquest of Manchuria, 
        
        Nippon secured the coal and iron mines it needed to lead the world in 
        
        industrial power.
 
 Over the course of the nineteenth century, Nippon would become the major 
        
        figure in the Pacific, conquering many of the unclaimed Polynesian islands 
        
        and using the Hawaiian Royals as a buffer to keep the expansive Americans 
        
        at bay. The Nipponese purchase of Alaska from the Russian Empire after 
        
        beating out the United States in a bidding war served as the West's wakeup 
        
        call to the political clout of Nippon. Later defeating the Russians in 
        
        war, the West would realize Nippon's clout was more than mere wealth and 
        
        trade.
 
 Europeans would clamor to bring Nippon into lasting treaties and even 
        
        their short-lived League of Nations, but the policy of avoiding Western 
        
        culture stood. Minor trades could be made for technology (they gained many 
        
        scientists from Fascism in exchange for resources), but there would be no 
        
        military pacts. Each time as the West has torn itself apart several times 
        
        over the centuries, the Nipponese have sat out, gaining a little more 
        
        wealth, industrial productivity, and power.
 
 
 
     
     Author 
    says in reality the Dutch guns did not work effectively. The defenders 
    of Hara Castle sent a mocking message, "Are there no longer courageous 
    soldiers in the realm to do combat with us, and weren't they ashamed to have 
    called in the assistance of foreigners against our small contingent?" At 
    Japanese request, the de Ryp was withdrawn, and, after the 
    rebellion was put down, Japan began the sakoku policy severely 
    limiting commerce and foreign relations. It would last more than two 
    centuries until the arrival of Commodore Perry in 1853. To view guest 
    historian's comments on this post please visit the
    
    Today in Alternate History web site. 
 
     Jeff Provine, Guest Historian of
    
    Today in Alternate History, a Daily Updating Blog of Important Events In 
    History That Never Occurred Today. Follow us on
    
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    fictional blog. 
 
 
    
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