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This Day in Alternate History Blog
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Amerika - International politics
1890-1912 With the conclusion of the peace treaty of
den Haag in 1890, Europe again settles in to more peaceful times. The old
aspirations and animosities arent forgotten, however, and a couple new ones are
added, too. Thus, the wartime alliances are taken on into peacetime, as Germany
and Austria on one side and France and Russia on the other strengthen their ties
and begin modernizing and enlarging their militaries. While there initially seems to be a
possibility of a German-Austrian-British alliance, one doesn't materialize.
Great Britain, having just come out on top, decides she doesn't really need any
alliances with continental powers, that would only constrain her freedom of
action. And on the German side, Bismarck has the exact same opinion. The next five years see the cementing of
British naval superiority, while the losers of the 2nd Great War lick their
wounds and rebuild their countries and economies. Then, however, the balance of
powers is upset when both alliances expand, seeing the Continental Coalition
reborn, and the triple-alliances to match it. In Eastern Europe, the year sees both
Serbia, Bulgaria and Hungary join the Franco-Russian alliance, for all practical
purposes forcing Romania to do the same, thus threatening Turkey greatly from
the north and Austria from the south. Likewise, in the Atlantic region, the
death of Bismarck in Germany and the election of president Roosevelt in the WA
removes any obstacles to the expansion of the Austro-German alliance into the
Triple Alliance, adding a threat against Canada, and a further potential naval
enemy for Great Britain to keep up with. With British attempts to make the WA
president Roosevelt change his mind proving futile, and with the
Pan-Anglo-Saxons winning power in Great Britain, the foundation is laid out for
the British to build a Triple Alliance of their own. In 1898, the recognition of
WA to be the rightful heir to the USA is retracted, and placed instead on EA.
There, post-Grant administrations have already tried to re-establish friendly
connections with the British since 1891 and, frankly, they cant believe their
luck. Come 1899, the North Atlantic Pact is
signed. A mutual defence pact between Great Britain, the Confederate States of
America and the United States of America (or EA), it expands the beginning arms
race in Europe into North America, too. Especially since the treaty is almost
immediately used as cover by the Confederacy to intervene in an anti-Spanish
insurgency in Cuba (Japan, another British ally, uses the war as a pretext to do
the same in the Philippines), eventually taking over the island, it is soon seen
as an offensive one by the German nations. While the Boxer War of 1901 sees the coming
together of the international (European) community in crushing Chinese rebels
and subsequently tearing it up into neat, appetizing bites for each one to
colonize, the 10 years following that see a steadily escalating naval arms race,
especially since the introduction of the Dreadnought in 1900, leaving all older
battleships obsolete and thus giving new naval powers a chance to catch up. Accompanying the arms race are
comparatively small-scale wars like the Russo-Japanese War of 1904-05 (a tie
with Russia holding onto Manchuria, while Japan takes Korea) and the Geralian
intervention into the Uruguayan civil war of 1903 and a series of crises, as the
three power-blocks come to grips around the world. The ones that bring the world
closest to the brink are over Oranje (Anglo-German) and the Sudan (Anglo-French)
in 1902, Morocco in 1905 (Franco-German), Macedonia in 1908 (Anglo-Russian) and
Poland (Russo-German) in 1910. Especially the Fashoda-crisis, when a British
attempt to stare down a French force in the southern Sudan is foiled by the
appearance of a pro-French Ethiopian army, nearly pushes the world over the
brink again. Luckily, the whole affair ends with the demarcation of British and
French interest spheres in the Sudan. During that time, the Triple-Alliance is
further reinforced with the addition of the kingdoms of
Italy and Sweden-Norway-Finland. Likewise, Spain joins the
French-Russian, and Portugal the British camp. By now only small nations like
Denmark and Switzerland manage to stay neutral. With the alliances taking in more and more
members, every little skirmish between minor powers threaten to evolve into a
major war, however. Already, during 1911, wars have broken out between Italy and
Turkey over Libya, and between Bulgaria, Serbia, Montenegro and Greece on
one side and Turkey on the other over over pretty much the entirety of
European Turkey. While major wars are avoided in both cases, diplomacy fails
miserably when Norwegian nationalists with British backing threaten civil war if
Sweden doesn't let them go. It is in this situation that the
involvement of the British Secret Service, not only in the Swedo-Norwegian civil
war, but also the assassination attempt on Theodor Roosevelt becomes known. From there, things quickly spin out of control, as the breakdown of diplomacy and tight mobilization-schedules and warplans destroy all attempts to prevent a 3rd Great War. |