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The democratic society

Recently, Emperor Blair and I were having a discussion on the effects of Oliver Cromwell, or someone from that period, managing to form a reasonably stable democratic state.  Where we differed was the effects that such as state would have had on the other nations of Europe and on world history. 

I’m not going to discuss PODs, details, what really happened and so forth beyond a few general details.  Lets say that in his protectorate period (1654-58) Oliver Cromwell manages to forge together a democratic state.  We could use as the POD an attempt by some of the aristocrats to kill him and take over, but he survives and attacks them, using what was by then his complete control over the New Model Army.  He divides the Aristocrats lands out among the peasants, which earns him a great deal of good will, and divides up Britain into small states, each of which has a repersentive in the Senate (I’ll use American terms for familiarity) and therefore a vote in the affairs of the land.  The head of the system will probably be called the ‘lord-protector’, like Cromwell, but that’s a non-issue. 

The remaining Aristocrats will almost certainly flee to France, where they have relatives, and attempt to push the French into declaring war.  The French are nervous, but the ending of the Anglo-Dutch war and the opening of trade cause them to become nervous.  The Spanish are also worried by the spread of this new passion for beheading kings and nobles and they start limited joint planning.  The commonwealth having been strongly anti-pope, they talk the pope into excommunicating the whole of Britain and building up their own forces.  They also prepare for an attack on the Netherlands, as it seems likely that the Dutch will unite with the British. 

Cromwell, now head of the senate and therefore ‘president’ of Great Britain and the empire, proceeds with his building of the state.  The vote is given to everyone who pays taxes and there is a vast educational program begun.  The merchants would also like to attack Spanish territory, so Cromwell begins planning the ‘western design’, an attack on Hispania and Jamaica. 

The attacks are disastrous (they almost were in OTL).  The British are beaten completely back from the islands by a joint Spanish-French force, which heralds the effective unification of the two empires.  Britain is therefore forced to build a new navy and prepare for a global war.  The two nations, France and Spain, have become far more repressive as they attempt to stamp out the growth of an underground democratic movement in their empires, while having to build new forces from scratch.  The French attempt to exile some of the less-obstinate democrats to Canada, in the hope that they will be able to emulate the success of the British American colonies.  The unification between Britain and the Netherlands means that the settlements are united, without war, and the joint forces mean that the British/Dutch union is stronger than the Bourbon Empire (official title for the Franco/Spanish union). 

This is a very bad time for Britain.  The Spanish empire was decaying, but the infusion of French gold and men may be able to keep it going and allow it to gather its strength.  The British do have the more powerful navy and the support of the growing American colonises (growing faster than in OTL), but they are committed to defending the Netherlands, which are terrifyingly vulnerable to land attack.  The new Lord Protector of England concentrates on spreading the democratic word across Europe, hoping to keep the empires busy at home.  However, there are constant skirmishes in the Pacific and elsewhere. 

The cold war finally becomes hot in 1700.  The beginnings of a democratic revolution (now, there’s a contradiction in terms) in southern France and Spain, inspired by memory of the long-vanished Cathars, is stamped on in a short and bitter civil war across France.  The Bourbons blame this (correctly) on British influence and declare war.  They start by attacking the Netherlands and the American colonies. 

The attack on the Netherlands bogs down almost at once.  The Dutch terrain is not conductive to a large army and the Dutch are skilful fighters.  However, the Dutch and the British contingent are outnumbered and eventually most of the Netherlands are overrun.  The miracle of the Dykes, as it would be called later, when the British ships were able to evacuate a large proportion of the Dutch and British Army, as well as many Dutch citizens.  The Bourbons take a fearful revenge on the reminder.

The attacks on the American colonies go badly at once for the bourbons and don’t recover.  The British are more numerous and have the support of many of the local Indians, while the French have the problems of the Canadians being unwilling to fight.  The collapse of the French army resulted in a rebellion against the French aristocrats and Canada is formally absorbed into the British Republic.  They soon prove to be a haven for escaping French democrats as the ‘evil empire’ becomes far more evil. 

The war in the pacific and Caribbean is the longest war and the most dangerous.  The Spanish attack the Dutch bases in the pacific and attempt to claim Australia.  They do manage to toss the Dutch off most of their island bases, but they fail to destroy the Dutch fleet and to stake a parmarment claim to Australia.  Their attack on the Dutch settlement at Nagasaki (Japan) brings in a Japanese declaration of war against the Spanish, although this is of little more than moral value.  The republic is horrified by the Japanese government and privately vows to correct it through intervention after the war is finished.  British reinforcements manage to allow the republic to go back on the offensive and by 1708 every Spanish territory in the pacific is in republican hands.  They begin attempting to pull the Spanish colonies into the republic’s trade web and into its system of government. 

The final large-scale campaign began in 1705 and was a massive attack on the Caribbean, now once again a Spanish lake.  The Spanish were attacked on land in Florida and the Republic Navy attempted to force out the Bourbon fleet or trap it in place.  After six years of campaigning, Jamaica, Hispania and Cuba finally fall, although the Republic does not have the strength to continue to Mexico. 

Despite the impressive republican victories, the Bourbon’s still had one more card to play.  Gathering the remains of their navy, they attempted an invasion of England.  While they did manage to make a landing, the British navy had destroyed most of their transports and they faced attacks from the British population as well as the army.  Finally, they were forced to withdraw.  It was this event, more than anything else, which legalised the right of all voters to bear arms.  

The war ended not with a bang, but with a whimper.  The demands for the war on the peasants of France and Spain created a powerful frustration and when the king ordered the army to fire on a crowd of peasants, he provoked a rebellion.  While there were British agitors present, the rebellion was not a peaceful transition to democratic status, but an enormous blood shedding of the nobles, shocking even the republic.  In the midst of all the chaos, the republic was able to reinvade the Netherlands and bring them back to the republic. 

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