| What if British Prime Minister 
    Harold Wilson really was a spy?  muses Chris Oakley 
     Author 
    says: please note that the opinions expressed in this post do not 
    necessarily reflect the views of the author(s). 
       
      
        | Necessary Evil |  | The Year 1974 |    
     
      August 20th,  
      on this day British prime minister Harold Wilson was found dead on a beach 
      in Great Britain's Scilly Isles, victim of a gunshot wound to the skull.Part 1 - Liquidation Initial 
      press reports described his death as a suicide brought on by depression 
      over the failure of his economic policiies, but investigation by Scotland 
      Yard detectives soon turned up evidence the late prime minister had in 
      fact been murdered by unknown assailants; within two days of Wilson's 
      demise a nationwide manhunt for the suspected killer or killers was on. 
      What wasn't known as the time -- and wouldn't be known for another three 
      decades -- was that Wilson had been assassinated by rogue MI-6 agents 
      who'd recently learned he was spying for the KGB and decided to liquidate 
      him before he could escape to the Soviet Union.
       
      When the truth about Wilson's murder finally came to light in a Guardian  investigative report published on the 30-year 
      anniversary of his death, it touched off a political firestorm which 
      rocked the British government to its core and prompted new prime minister 
      Tony Blair to order a full-scale inquiry into the Wilson assassination. 
      Scores of MI-6 officials were forced to resign as a result of the ensuing 
      scandal and a dozen more arrested on suspicion of having played a role in 
      the assassination conspiracy. The controversy even touched intelligence 
      agencies on the other side of the Atlantic, as the CIA's European section 
      was found to have provided the final confirmation Wilson was working for 
      the Soviets. 
       
       August 25th, 
       
        on this day thousands of people crowded the heart of London to pay their 
        final respects to slain British prime minister Harold Wilson as his 
        casket was driven through the streets of the British capital prior to 
        his memorial service at Westminster Cathedral.
        Part 2- PinnacleThat same day 
        Wilson's KGB handlers, shaken by their contact's untimely demise and 
        fearing their other agents in Britain might have been compromised, 
        ordered all remaining Soviet intelligence personnel in the UK to go to 
        ground immediately.
 
 Classified documents released by the Russian government after the 
        collapse of the Soviet Union would reveal Wilson's handlers had just 
        cause for alarm; three days before the British prime minister's 
        assassination a KGB defector code-named "Pinnacle" by MI-6 had given 
        British intelligence highly detailed and credible reports Wilson was 
        preparing to escape to the Soviet Union before anyone could arrest him 
        for his espionage activities. The information provided by "Pinnacle" 
        enabled British police to arrest hundreds of Soviet agents and forced 
        dozens more to flee the UK.
 
 
     
      September 2nd, 
     
      the KGB underwent a massive shakeup in its top echelons as agency chief 
      Yuri Andropov and his five most senior deputies, along with the KGB's 
      London station chief and western European regional director of operations, 
      were all fired for their respective roles in the chain of events leading 
      to the assassination of Harold Wilson and the subsequent collapse of the 
      agency's spy network in Britain. Part 3 - KGB Shake-up Post-Cold 
      War historians would cite the shakeup as the beginning of the end for the 
      KGB; the loss of so many experienced executives, with the collapse of 
      Soviet intel operations in the UK, would compromise Soviet covert 
      activities in the West to such a degree that Reagan administration CIA 
      director William Casey would later compare the KGB to "a truck with three 
      flat tires and both headlights broken".
       
      The shakeup also seriously disrupted KGB efforts to combat foreign 
      espionage on Soviet soil - and last but not least, it effectively ended 
      Andropov's political career. Before the Wilson fiasco Andropov had been 
      one of the most powerful men in the Kremlin and was considered in some 
      circles a possible successor to CPSU general secretary Leonid Brezhnev; 
      after his firing, however, Andropov would effectively become persona 
      non grata  in Moscow. His dismissal is thought to have been a factor 
      in his death from cirrhosis in 1979 at the age of 65. 
        
      
        | Necessary Evil |  | The Year 1977 |    
     
      July 21st,  
      the rogue MI-6 agent who had led the conspiracy to assassinate Harold 
      Wilson was himself killed in a car crash in Switzerland. 
 Part 4 - The OarsmanAt the time 
      of his death the agent, formerly known to his co-conspirators as 
      "Oarsman", had been on the run since 1975; there were outstanding warrants 
      for his arrest in both France and Belgium, where he'd been waging a 
      personal "black ops" campaign against KGB-sponsored radical leftist 
      groups, and back in his native Britain an MI-6 internal probe had turned 
      up evidence suggesting "Oarsman" was embezzling agency funds for personal 
      use. He was buried under one of the dozen or so aliases he had used to 
      conceal his true identity during his time on the lam.
 
 Part 4 of the Necessary Evil ThreadEven after the Blair government's 
      2004-05 inquiry had clearly established the role of "Oarsman" and his 
      cohorts in Harold Wilson's death, the rogue MI-6 operative's fate was 
      still something of a mystery as far as the British public was concerned. 
      It wasn't until 2008 -- when Blair's successor Gordon Brown launched a 
      further investigation of the assassination plot - that the facts about the 
      agent's untimely demise finally came to light. A DNA test authorized by 
      the Swiss courts proved the body interred in Zurich's Friedhof Nordheim 
      cemetery was indeed that of "Oarsman". From there, Swiss and UK police 
      began a joint probe into the circumstances behind the crash that killed 
      the renegade MI-6 agent; the investigation would lead to three arrests in 
      the summer of 2009.
 
 When Brown himself left office in May of 2010, new British prime minister 
      David Cameron pledged that his government would continue the reforms of 
      the UK's intelligence network which Brown and Blair had started 
      instituting in the aftermath of the 2004-05 inquiry into the Wilson 
      assassination conspiracy.
 
 
 
     
 
      
        | Necessary Evil |  | The Year 1979 |    
     
     October 16th, 
     
      on this day disgraced ex-KGB chief Yuri Andropov died of cirrhosis of the 
      liver at the age of 65. Since being sacked five years earlier in the 
      aftermath of the Harold Wilson assassination, he had fallen into a steady, 
      irreversible mental and physical decline; the post-mortem autopsy on 
      Andropov turned up substantial amounts of alcohol in his system, 
      confirming long-held suspicions that he had been drinking illicit 
      home-brewed vodka on a daily basis for most of the time he was confined at 
      the Siberian labor camp to which he'd been exiled since his dismissal as 
      KGB chairman.
 Part 5- The demise of a disgraced 
      spychiefAlthough manufacturing bootleg liquor had officially been 
      prohibited in Soviet labor camps for decades, unofficially Andropov's 
      jailers had long since turned a blind eye to his drinking.
 
 A new installment in Necessary EvilVery little mention of Andropov's death 
      was made in the state-controlled Soviet media, but it got considerable 
      press coverage in the West-- particularly in the United States, where 
      veteran CBS News anchor Walter Cronkite called it "a potential turning 
      point in the history of Russia". Cronkite was more accurate than he 
      realized; even as arrangements were being made for Andropov's funeral, the 
      ideological disputes that had been roiling the CPSU's upper echelons 
      behind closed doors in the five years since the Soviet intel network in 
      Great Britain collapsed were reaching heights not seen in Russia since the 
      Trotsky-Stalin struggle for the right to succeed Vladimir Lenin as CPSU 
      leader following Lenin's death in 1924. And outside the Kremlin walls, a 
      political reform movement whose ranks included nuclear physicist Andrei 
      Sakharov and agriculture official Mikhail Gorbachev was gaining traction 
      among the increasingly discontented Soviet masses.
 
 The repercussions of the CPSU's internal crisis weren't confined to the 
      Soviet Union's borders; in Cuba, Fidel Castro grumbed about deep cuts in 
      Soviet aid to Havana, while in Afghanistan a largely Islamic insurgency 
      was threatening the survival of the Soviet-backed Marxist regime in Kabul. 
      Two of the USSR's foremost Warsaw Pact allies, East Germany and Hungary, 
      were sufficiently concerned about what was going on in the Kremlin that 
      they were contemplating an action which under other circumstances would 
      have been unthinkable: pulling out of the 1980 Summer Olympic Games 
      scheduled to be held in Moscow. Last but not least, a nervous Chinese 
      government had placed its Siberian border defenses on full alert, 
      understandably worried the turmoil racking its Soviet neighbor might 
      sooner or later spill over onto China's own soil.
 
 
 
     
     December 1st, 
     
      on this day Marshal Nikolai Ogarkov, chief of the Soviet general staff, 
      abruptly resigned his post just after returning from an inspection tour of 
      Red Army military bases in East Germany. His official reason for stepping 
      down was declining health; unofficially, however, there were rumors he was 
      afraid of being arrested, exiled, or even killed as so many other Soviet 
      political and military officials had been in the half-decade since Yuri 
      Andropov was dismissed as head of the KGB.Part 6 - Ogarkov's Fate And 
      indeed there had been at least one assassination attempt on Ogarkov's life 
      during his East German visit; that attempt had prompted two of the 
      marshal's senior aides to turn in their own resignations a week before 
      Ogarkov himself quit.
       
      A new post from the Necessary Evil Thread by Chris OakleyIronically, 
      Marshal Ogarkov might have been better off not  resigning; less 
      than two weeks after he retired as defense minister he was fatally injured 
      in a hit-and-run accident near his Moscow flat. Post-Cold War conspiracy 
      theorists would speculate Ogarkov had been targeted for murder by one of 
      his political adversaries, but the official Moscow police determination in 
      the matter of the marshal's death was that he had been hit by a drunk 
      driver. In any case, his demise would further heighten the already intense 
      paranoia many Soviet citizens felt about their government -- by New Year's 
      Day 1980 anti-government rallies would become an almost weekly event in 
      the USSR's larger cities and foreign embassies in Moscow would go on full 
      security alert as riots began to tear further at the country's badly 
      frayed social fabric.
       
      The tension would finally erupt into outright civil war less than twelve 
      months after Ogarkov's resignation. 
       
 
        
          | Necessary Evil |  | The Year 1980 |  
       January 16th, 
       
        on this day Leonid Brezhnev, CPSU general secretary since 1964, died of 
        heart failure at the age of 73; he was succeeded by Konstantin Chernenko, 
        who'd been chairman of the Presidium of the Supreme Soviet at the time 
        of Brezhnev's death. 
 Part 7 - Death of Leonid BrezhnevIn 
        Chernenko's first official act as Soviet premier the new CPSU First 
        Secretary declared martial law in Moscow, Kiev, and Leningrad in an 
        effort to quell the civil unrest which had been racking those cities -- 
        and much of the rest of the Soviet Union as well --for months. But in 
        hindsight the martial law declaration would prove to be a case of 
        closing and locking the barn door after the horses had already run away. 
        Demonstrations demanding political liberalization and reform would only 
        become more frequent during Chernenko's first months as Soviet leader, 
        and some of the more radical anti-government factions incited riots just 
        to spite him.
 
 And things would only get worse for Chernenko; on the same day he 
        officially assumed the post of CPSU general secretary East Germany and 
        Hungary confirmed they would not be participating in the 1980 Summer 
        Olympics in Moscow. Two weeks after that announcement, the Czech 
        ambassador in Moscow told Chernenko that Czechoslovakia was also 
        withdrawing from the 1980 Summer Games. On the heels of this stunning 
        decision then-U.S. Secretary of State Cyrus Vance sent a memo to 
        President Jimmy Carter asserting that both the Soviet Union and the 
        Warsaw Pact were in the first stages of their ultimate collapse; the 
        memo concluded with the prediction the Soviet Union would break up 
        within the next 3-5 years.
 
 While not entirely convinced of the validity of Vance's argument, Carter 
        nonetheless gave the State Department the green light to begin updating 
        its European policies to prepare for life in a post-Cold War world. He 
        also instructed his Director of Central Intelligence, Stansfield Turner, 
        to step up CIA surveillance activities inside the Soviet Union to look 
        for signs of how far and how rapidly that country's internal 
        disintegration was progressing.
 
 
     
     Author 
    says this thread is inspired by an article in the
    
    New Statesman Magazine. To view guest historian's comments on this post 
    please visit the
    
    Today in Alternate History web site. 
 
     Chris Oakley, Guest Historian of
    
    Today in Alternate History, a Daily Updating Blog of Important Events In 
    History That Never Occurred Today. Follow us on
    
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    Twitter.  Imagine what would be, if history had occurred a bit 
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    superpower, aliens influencing human history in the 18th century and Teddy 
    Roosevelt winning his 3rd term as president abound in this interesting 
    fictional blog. 
 
 
    
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