| "Pearl Harbor Raid Destroys Two 
    Carriers" by Jeff Provine 
     Author 
    says: we're very pleased to present a new story from Jeff Provine's 
    excellent blog This 
    Day in Alternate History. Please note that the opinions expressed in 
    this post do not necessarily reflect the views of the author(s). 
     
      On December 7th 1941,
     
      Please click the
        
        
          
           icon to follow us on Facebook.on this day at 7:48 AM, Hawaiian 
        
        time, the air raid on the American fleet stationed in Pearl Harbor began 
        
        as the Japanese Operation Z came to completion. 
 For several hours, cacophony and pandemonium reigned over the base, with 
        
        more than three thousand killed, thousands more wounded, and nine ships 
        
        sunk with another dozen damaged. It was truly a date that would live in 
        
        infamy, as President Franklin D. Roosevelt would report to the American 
        
        public the next day as Congress began its proceedings to vote a 
        
        declaration of war that would bring the United States into World War II.
 
 What was a haven of misfortune for the American Pacific Fleet became even 
        
        worse as fateful flukes brought two of America's three aircraft carriers 
        
        to the harbor. Bad luck had haunted the USS Lexington as it had prepared 
        
        to venture with Task Force 12 to carry marine aircraft in reinforcement of 
        
        Midway Island, long expected to be the battleground for a Japanese attack, 
        
        if any. Engine troubles had kept the Lexington at Pearl Harbor with 
        
        engineers baffled and working to improve repairs that had been overly 
        
        hasty some time before. The Enterprise, meanwhile, had seemed to carry 
        
        good luck, arriving into port a day ahead of schedule on December 6 thanks 
        
        to catching favorable current from a distant storm. The two carriers were 
        
        well placed near Battleship Row for the Japanese torpedo-bombers to 
        
        destroy both.
 
 "Yes---Pearl harbor could have been much, much 
          
          worse." - reader's commentWith two ships and an army of eight 
        
        men, Charlie landed at Eriskay on July 23. Finding great support among the 
        
        Highlanders, Charlie raised his father's standard and formed up an army 
        
        large enough to subdue Edinburgh. At Prestonpans on September 21, Charlie 
        
        met with the only government army to stand against him in Scotland, which 
        
        he soundly defeated, inflicting ten times the causalities his force took. 
        
        From there, he pressed south, moving practically unopposed with 6,000 men 
        
        through Cumbria and Derbyshire to Swarkestone Bridge. There, word said 
        
        that few supported him in the south and, worse, the government was 
        
        building a mass of force to counterattack. Charlie's commanders advised 
        
        him to turn back and raise more of his own support.
 
 By afternoon of December 7, the USS Saratoga was the only American carrier 
        
        in the Pacific. It raced into action to reinforce Wake Island, stopping at 
        
        the devastated Pearl Harbor along the way only long enough to refuel, but 
        
        was forced to turn back when the Japanese conquered Wake with the 
        
        remainder of its attacking fleet on its return from Hawaii. Running 
        
        patrols and hoping to recoup, the States soon launched the USS Hornet, 
        
        which had been laid down in 1939 and commissioned only two months before. 
        
        In a strike that would be tactically negligible but key to American 
        
        propaganda, the Hornet would serve and the launching platform for the 
        
        Doolittle Raid against Tokyo on April 18, 1942,, showing the American and 
        
        Japanese public alike that the US could strike wherever it wished.
 
 "Japanese lacked the merchant shipping to feed 
          
          Midway had they taken it. In reverse had the USN lost all fleet carriers 
          
          they would simply have been forced to use escort carriers instead. " 
          
          - reader's commentIn retaliation for Tokyo, Yamamoto realized the 
        
        need for a strong buffer from US ships and determined to strike at Midway. 
        
        The US Navy had always anticipated the attack, and the battle would be the 
        
        second large-scale altercation of the Pacific War after the devastating 
        
        loss at Coral Sea. Despite having broken Japanese code and inflicting 
        
        heavy losses, the Americans would be forced to surrender with the sinking 
        
        of the Hornet as they simply did not have the manpower to throw back the 
        
        Japanese attack, much as had happened at Coral Sea the month before, where 
        
        the Lexington had been sunk.
 
 "It's also unlikely that the U.S. would have been 
          
          able to attack Tokyo as depicted so early in the conflict. And a later 
          
          Pearl Harbor would have had other ramifications. Almost certainly the 
          
          Manhattan Project would have porceeded at a slower pae in 1942 than oit 
          
          did, leading to a later development of the A-bomb--by July 1946 instead of 
          
          '45, say. In Europe, meanwhile, the Nazis would have killed even more 
          
          people. They might even have taken Moscow, had U.S. aid to Russia come too 
          
          late, meaning a harder fight to drive them back (and even greater postwar 
          
          paranoia, if that's possible, from the Soviets). Depending on how things 
          
          played out, the Soviets' need to retake Moscow might have delayed them 
          
          enough to allow the U.S. to acquire more, perhaps all, of Germany's rocket 
          
          experts. And so on. ... " - reader's commentsWith these 
        
        two major losses, the Japanese Empire stood almost unopposed in the 
        
        Pacific. The Aleutian Campaign saw brutal US Marine defense against a 
        
        Japanese island-hopping campaign that inflicted frustration among 
        
        commanders. Meanwhile in the South Pacific, the Japanese fleet transported 
        
        its army into swift invasions of New Zealand and Australia. While 
        
        principle population centers such as Sydney and Auckland and important 
        
        resources such as Australian copper mines were firmly controlled, the 
        
        Aussies and Kiwis launched guerrilla campaigns from the mountains and 
        
        Outback. Japanese soldiers would struggle through the war simply to 
        
        maintain a semblance of control amid ambushes, sabotage, and 
        
        assassination, which were traded by death-marches through the Australian 
        
        desert and bitter treatment in prisoner-of-war camps.
 
 It would not be until 1944 that Allied fortunes in the Pacific began to 
        
        change for the better. The successful taking of the Gilbert Islands led to 
        
        a new campaign that brought the liberation of New Zealand that June, 
        
        followed by Australia that August. Challenging the Japanese oil supplies 
        
        from the Dutch East Indies, General Douglas MacArthur finally made good on 
        
        his promise to return to the Philippines in the counter-attacks of the 
        
        fall of 1945. That December 7, four years after the war had begun, at 
        
        President Truman's authorization, the first atomic bomb was dropped on the 
        
        city of Hiroshima. A second would be dropped shortly after, and the 
        
        Japanese emperor, citing specifically the pressure of Soviet invasion from 
        
        occupied Korea, surrendered.
 
 While many speculate what might have happened had the US Pacific Fleet 
        
        been at full strength with its carriers after Pearl Harbor, it is a somber 
        
        memory of what did in fact occur. From the agony of occupied Oceana to the 
        
        jungle warfare of Southeast Asia to the genocide in China and the vicious 
        
        bloodlettings in the Aleutians, the Pacific theater of WWII serves as a 
        
        grave reminder of the terrible actions of war-hungry men. Since then, we 
        
        have seen the marginal peace of the Cold War and Pax Americana interrupted 
        
        at times by greed and wrath such as communist Korea's periodic baiting 
        
        missile-launches toward capitalist Japan.
 
 
 
     
     Author 
    says in reality neither the Lexington nor the Enterprise were at Pearl 
    Harbor the morning of the seventh. With undamaged carriers and incredible 
    effort in repairing and embiggening the Pacific fleet, the Allies held Japan 
    at Coral Sea and Midway, turning back the tide of war that could have spread 
    its destruction much, much further. To view guest historian's comments on 
    this post please visit the
    
    Today in Alternate History web site. 
 
     Jeff Provine, Guest Historian of
    
    Today in Alternate History, a Daily Updating Blog of Important Events In 
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